Bright = predicted ice. Slide to hide low-confidence guesses;
thicken the atmosphere to warm Mars and flood the lowlands.
Hide uncertain predictions
show all guessesonly confident
Depth band
Thicken the atmosphere
today · 6 mbar2 bar
ΔT +0 °C · 6 mbar — equator −58 °C, poles −113 °C everything stays frozen
Ice prediction
none / unsurelikelyconfident
Water depth
shore≥1.5 km
frozen-over sea
LightGBM on SWIM ice-consistency from MOLA topography + neutron flux.
Shallow AUC 0.93, deep 0.83; uncertainty = ensemble disagreement.
Water: a thicker atmosphere warms the planet and lifts pressure past the
triple point so meltwater floods MOLA topography instead of subliming.